CGC 8.5 · 1st Edition estimate
$3,988
Only 4 of its sales are from the last 90 days. A full estimate needs 5.
Updated Oct 20, 2026. Estimate, recent sales and next-sale range: all adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
How close we came: half of 16,528 sales were within 21 percent of our estimate the day before. Group: Wizards era, fewer than 5 sales in 90 days, Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026. See how close we came for similar grades
Estimated from similar cards: fewer than 5 sales we counted in 90 days, so the figure is modeled from 4 sales in 90 days, 38 older sales adjusted to today.
Recent sales: the middle (median) of the last 3 sales we counted (Aug 16 to Sep 20), each adjusted to typical eBay auction prices: Buy It Now and auction-house prices are moved by the gap we measure between venues in this era. The sales list shows the prices paid.
Checked on 16,528 estimate-to-next-sale pairs for grades with fewer than 5 sales in 90 days, Wizards era, from Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026: half the next sales landed within 21 percent of the estimate at the time (as of Oct 18). A record of past estimates, not a guarantee for this card.
Estimates with limited evidence had a median error of 22 percent on 44,262 past cases (Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026).
Sales in the last 90 days ran from $3,500 (Aug 13) to $4,703 (Aug 16) (4 sales, prices paid).
Last sale Sep 20, 2026 (30 days ago). Since then, Wizards sales have run 5 percent above their previous prices.
Evidence: strong means at least 4.5 effective recent sales (older and clustered sales count for less) with a spread under 0.15; moderate, at least 2.8 with a spread under 0.30; limited, anything less. The basis (sales of this grade, or estimated from similar cards) is stated separately.
An estimate from completed sales. Not an offer or an appraisal.
Holding higher
Since a jump in May 2026, 5 sales over 141 days stayed near $4,256. That is about 2.3 times the earlier $1,877.
Our estimate has moved part of the way: $2,770 on Apr 30, $3,981 (from similar cards) now.
Prices jumped within the last year, and then stayed up. At least 3 sales over 30 days or more sold near the new price, the latest 2 among them. Near means within 1.5 times the usual spread.
The usual spread is how much this grade's price moves from one sale to the next.
Labels describe past sales only. They never change our estimate.
9 sales plotted · adjusted to typical eBay auction prices
Tap a dot, or tab to it, to see that sale.
Prices are adjusted to typical eBay auction prices. The latest sale is ringed.
Buy It Now and auction-house prices are moved by the gap we measure between venues in this era, so every dot is comparable with an eBay auction. Tap a dot to see the price paid.
4 sales in the last 90 days. Each one is listed below.
Prices adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
Lugia · CGC 8.5 · 1st Edition · 1 year
Dots are sales at the price paid. The line is our estimate, adjusted to typical eBay auction prices. These points were rebuilt later from past sales, not shown at the time.
Last point on this chart: Sep 30, 2026, estimate then $4,350. Adjusted to typical eBay auction prices. The estimate at the top is the one updated Oct 20, 2026.
Lugia · CGC 8.5 · 1st Edition
eBay takes $571 (13.25%) plus $0.40.
Fanatics takes $234 (6%).
Alt takes $350 (9%).
eBay takes $528 (13.25%) plus $0.40.
Alt charges no seller fee and adds a 6% bonus to the $3,242 winning bid.
Fanatics charges no seller fee and adds a 2% bonus to the $3,253 winning bid.
No fees. Dealers often pay around 68% of value. We do not measure their offers.
After fees and about $6 postage, at today's estimate of $3,988.
Goldin is not shown: we do not measure Goldin prices for this era.
eBay: the estimate plus the shipping you charge, less eBay's fee on both, less the per-order fee and your postage. The Buy It Now row uses the Buy It Now estimate. Fanatics, Goldin and Alt auctions: the estimate moved to that venue's prices with the gap we measure for this era, divided by one plus the buyer's premium to get the hammer price, then the seller bonus added or the commission taken off, less postage. Fanatics Buy Now and Alt fixed price: that venue's price less its seller fee and postage. Show offer: the estimate times your percentage. Sales tax is left out; eBay also charges its fee on tax the buyer pays. fees as of Oct 19, 2026.
Grades 6.5 to 7 share one estimate. Their recent sales overlap, so we do not rank them apart.
Grades 3.5 to 4 share one estimate. Their recent sales overlap, so we do not rank them apart.
Estimates are adjusted to typical eBay auction prices. Sold ranges are prices as paid. A dash in the 30-day change column means no change is shown: it needs strong or moderate evidence.
A grade's estimate needs 5 or more sales we counted in 90 days; otherwise the panel shows the lowest to highest sale of the last year. When neighbouring grades' sales overlap, or a lower grade's figure would sit above a higher grade's, they share one precision-weighted estimate (each figure weighted by how tight its range is). The 30-day change compares with the last settled estimate and shows only with strong or moderate evidence.
4 sales we counted · prices as paid
Tap a sale for its record, with the price adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
Current offers at asking prices. These are not completed sales.
No copies listed on eBay right now.
Prices and stock as eBay lists them. eBay is not part of this site.
No population report for this printing yet.