Lugia
Estimated value · BGS 8 · 1st Edition · updated Oct 19
$5,393
- Recent sales: middle of the last 3: $5,393, Sep 18 to Oct 11
- Evidence: limited · 13 sales in 180 days · last Oct 11
- Next-sale range: $3,380 to $27,417
Estimate, recent sales and range: adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
How we got this
A full estimate: 8 sales we counted in the last 90 days, weighted toward the most recent.
Recent sales: the middle (median) of the last 3 sales we counted (Sep 18 to Oct 11), each adjusted to typical eBay auction prices: Buy It Now and auction-house prices are moved by the gap we measure between venues in this era. The sales list shows the prices paid.
Checked on 10,522 estimate-to-next-sale pairs for grades with 5 to 8 sales in 90 days, Wizards era, from Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026: half the next sales landed within 17 percent of the estimate at the time (as of Oct 18). A record of past estimates, not a guarantee for this card.
Estimates with limited evidence had a median error of 20 percent on 25,291 past cases (Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026).
Sales in the last 90 days ran from $3,001 (Jul 23) to $5,760 (Oct 11) (8 sales, prices paid).
Evidence: strong means at least 4.5 effective recent sales (older and clustered sales count for less) with a spread under 0.15; moderate, at least 2.8 with a spread under 0.30; limited, anything less. The basis (sales of this grade, or estimated from similar cards) is stated separately.
An estimate from completed sales. Not an offer or an appraisal.
Rising
Prices moved up, and later sales held there.
- Last 3 sales vs 16 before: +75%
- Vs our estimate: 0%
- Estimate since the move began: +60%
How we got this
The middle of the last 3 sales against the middle of the 16 before them (Sep to Oct vs Sep 2025 to Aug 2026), adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
Our estimate $5,390 from 9 sales through Oct 11.
The estimate was $3,377 on Sep 20 and is $5,390 now.
Sales, last 90 days · 8
Each dot is a sale; tap one for details. Prices are adjusted to typical eBay auction prices. The latest sale is ringed.
About this chart
Buy It Now and auction-house prices are moved by the gap we measure between venues in this era, so every dot is comparable with an eBay auction. Tap a dot to see the price paid.
From Jul 23, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, 8 sales had a median of $3,800, with prices moving up, 50 percent above the median of the earlier year. (Prices adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.)
Momentum: Rising
Detected Sep 20.
What ends it: later sales falling back, or our estimate catching up (shown as Settled). It also ends after 45 days without a sale at the new level.
Lugia · BGS 8 · 1st Edition · 1 year
Oct 19, 2026 · estimate $5,393 · that week: no sales
On eBay now
Listings from eBay · updated less than an hour agoNo copies listed on eBay right now.
Prices and stock as eBay lists them. eBay is not part of this site.
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Compared with the 8 sales of the last 90 days and the estimate.
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Grades · 1st Edition
Grades 7 to 7.5 share one estimate. Their recent sales overlap, so we do not rank them apart.
Grades 6 to 6.5 share one estimate. Their recent sales overlap, so we do not rank them apart.
Grades 4 to 5 share one estimate so a lower grade never shows above a higher one.
Our estimate for each grade, with the change over 30 days and how much evidence backs it. Grades with few recent sales show the range of what sold instead.
How we got this
A grade's estimate needs 5 or more sales we counted in 90 days; otherwise the panel shows the lowest to highest sale of the last year. When neighbouring grades' sales overlap, or a lower grade's figure would sit above a higher grade's, they share one precision-weighted estimate (each figure weighted by how tight its range is). The 30-day change compares with the last settled estimate and shows only with strong or moderate evidence.
Printings · BGS 8
Sales, last 90 days, BGS 8 · 1st Edition
Prices as paid. Tap a sale to see it adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
Report a missing sale
Population
No population report for this printing yet.
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