Charizard
SM Black Star Promos · #SM226 · 2017 · Holo
PSA 4 · Holo estimate
$47
Estimated from this grade's 1 sale of the last year
Only 1 of its sales is from the last 90 days. A full estimate needs 5.
- Recent sales: last sale $47, Oct 4
- Evidence: limited · 1 sale we counted in the last 90 days · last sale Oct 4
Updated Oct 20, 2026. Estimate and recent sales: all adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
How close we came: half of 1,542 sales were within 23 percent of our estimate the day before. Group: Black & White onward, fewer than 5 sales in 90 days, Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 18, 2026. See how close we came for similar grades
How we got this
Fewer than 5 sales we counted in 90 days and too little related data for a modeled figure, so this is the plausibility-weighted median of this grade's own 1 sale in the last 365 days, each moved to today by how this era's prices have changed since it sold. A sale far from the others counts for less.
Recent sales: the middle (median) of the last 1 sales we counted (Oct 4), each adjusted to typical eBay auction prices: Buy It Now and auction-house prices are moved by the gap we measure between venues in this era. The sales list shows the prices paid.
Checked on 1,542 estimate-to-next-sale pairs for grades with fewer than 5 sales in 90 days, Black & White onward, from Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 18, 2026: half the next sales landed within 23 percent of the estimate at the time (as of Oct 20). A record of past estimates, not a guarantee for this card.
Estimates with limited evidence had a median error of 22 percent on 44,262 past cases (Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026).
Last sale Oct 4, 2026 (16 days ago). Since then, Black & White onward sales have run 2 percent above their previous prices.
Evidence: strong means at least 4.5 effective recent sales (older and clustered sales count for less) with a spread under 0.15; moderate, at least 2.8 with a spread under 0.30; limited, anything less. The basis (sales of this grade, or estimated from similar cards) is stated separately.
An estimate from completed sales. Not an offer or an appraisal.
PSA 4 · Holo · last 180 days
Few recent sales
Only 1 sale in the last 180 days. The latest sold for $50 on Oct 4.
Our estimate is $47.
What this label means
This grade had fewer than 3 sales in the last 180 days. Or it had fewer than 3 in the last 90 days and no clear pattern.
Labels describe past sales only. They never change our estimate.
Sales, last 3 years
1 sale plotted · adjusted to typical eBay auction prices
Tap a dot, or tab to it, to see that sale.
Prices are adjusted to typical eBay auction prices. The latest sale is ringed.
About this chart
Buy It Now and auction-house prices are moved by the gap we measure between venues in this era, so every dot is comparable with an eBay auction. Tap a dot to see the price paid.
No sales in the last 7 days; the last sale was $50 paid, 16 days ago. Last 30 days: 1 sale, too few to compare. Last 90 days: the same 1 sale. Last 12 months: 1 sale, $50 paid. Of 3 other grades with 5 or more sales in 90 days, 1 rose and 2 fell.
- Oct 4, 2026: $47 (eBay fixed price)
Prices adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
Paid is what the buyer paid. Adjusted means adjusted to typical eBay auction prices. Changes compare adjusted prices.
How we got this
This text is built each night from the sales shown on this page, last on Oct 20, 2026. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast. Every number in it is checked against the stored facts before it is shown.
Each window's middle sale is the middle of its sales, once as paid and once adjusted. A change compares the adjusted middle sale with the window of the same length just before it, and only when both have 3 or more sales. Our estimate's change uses the figure the site showed on the window's first day.
- Last 7 days: no sales
- Last 30 days: 1 sale; middle sale $50 paid, $47 adjusted
- Last 90 days: 1 sale; middle sale $50 paid, $47 adjusted
- Last 12 months: 1 sale; middle sale $50 paid, $47 adjusted
Thinking of buying?
Charizard · PSA 4 · Holo
Thinking of selling?
eBay Buy It Nowsells for about $50you keep about $37
eBay takes $7 (13.25%) plus $0.40. You pay about $6 postage. Sale price: our estimate plus the usual extra Buy It Now buyers paid for this era.
Fanatics Buy Nowsells for about $44you keep about $35
Fanatics takes $3 (6%). You pay about $6 postage. Sale price: our estimate adjusted to Fanatics prices for this era.
eBay auctionsells for about $47you keep about $34
eBay takes $7 (13.25%) plus $0.40. You pay about $6 postage. Sale price: our estimate.
Alt auctionsells for about $45you keep about $33
Hammer about $38; the buyer adds a 20% premium ($7). Alt adds a 4% bonus ($1) to your hammer. You pay about $6 postage. Sale price: our estimate adjusted to Alt prices for this era.
Alt fixed pricesells for about $45you keep about $33
Alt takes $6 (14%). You pay about $6 postage. Sale price: our estimate adjusted to Alt prices for this era.
Fanatics auctionsells for about $44you keep about $31
Hammer about $37; the buyer adds a 20% premium ($7). Fanatics charges no seller fee. You pay about $6 postage. Sale price: our estimate adjusted to Fanatics prices for this era.
Card showdealers often pay 45% to 50%about $21 to $24 cash
For cards like this, in cash, with no fees: you keep it all. Store credit or trade is often 5 to 10 points more. Based on what dealers report paying for graded cards under $100 that rarely sell. How we set this
Sale prices differ by place: Buy It Now buyers usually pay more, and auction houses add a buyer's premium. You keep the price minus fees and about $6 postage. Our estimate today: $47.
Goldin is not shown: we do not measure Goldin prices for this era.
How we got this
eBay: the estimate plus the shipping you charge, less eBay's fee on both, less the per-order fee and your postage. The Buy It Now row uses the Buy It Now estimate. Fanatics, Goldin and Alt auctions: the estimate moved to that venue's prices with the gap we measure for this era, divided by one plus the buyer's premium to get the hammer price, then the seller bonus added or the commission taken off, less postage. Fanatics Buy Now and Alt fixed price: that venue's price less its seller fee and postage. Card show: the range dealers often pay for a card of this value, higher for grades that sell often and lower for grades that rarely sell (see Methodology); the figure used to rank it is the middle of that range, or the estimate times your percentage. With your own price, every place takes it as what the buyer pays, and an auction's hammer is that price less the buyer's premium. Sales tax is left out; eBay also charges its fee on tax the buyer pays. fees as of Oct 19, 2026.
- eBay auction: Trading card fee: 13.25% of the sale up to $7,500. Above that, 2.35% on the rest. The sale counts the price, shipping charged and sales tax. Each order also pays $0.30, or $0.40 over $10. Sales tax is left out here. Checked Oct 19, 2026 (confirmed). Source
- eBay Buy It Now: Same fees as the auction, on the Buy It Now estimate. That is our estimate times this era's usual Buy It Now gap, never below the estimate. Checked Oct 19, 2026 (confirmed). Source
- Fanatics auction: Buyers pay a 20% premium on the hammer price. Our stored Fanatics prices include that 20%. Premier Auction, for cards worth $25,000 or more: the seller gets 110% of the hammer. That rises to 112.5% above $250,000 and 115% above $1,000,000. Weekly Auction: a bonus of 2% to 15% on sales of $50 or more. We use the lowest, 2%. There is no seller fee. Checked Oct 19, 2026 (partly confirmed). Source
- Fanatics Buy Now: Seller fee 6% when listed under 120% of Card Ladder's market value. It is 12% at or above that. Buyers pay no fee. We list at the Fanatics price, so 6% applies. Checked Oct 19, 2026 (confirmed). Source
- Goldin auction: Buyers pay a 22% premium, at least $19. Goldin does not publish its seller commission. About 5% is a typical figure, not confirmed. We do not measure Goldin prices yet, so this route has no figure. Checked Oct 19, 2026 (partly confirmed). Source
- Alt auction: Buyers pay a 20% premium. Sellers pay no fee. The base seller bonus depends on the card's value: 4% under $1,000, 6% to $5,000, 8% to $25,000. It is 10% to $50,000, 12% to $200,000 and 15% above. We use the hammer price for the value. We assume our stored Alt prices include the premium. Checked Oct 19, 2026 (confirmed). Source
- Alt fixed price: Base seller fee: 14% to $249, 9% to $7,499, 7% to $9,999, and 5% from $10,000. Buyers pay no fee. Checked Oct 19, 2026 (confirmed). Source
- Show offer: No fee. Your own percentage of the estimate. The default follows the evidence: 87.5% strong, 80% moderate, 67.5% limited. Checked not checked (not applicable).
Grades · PSA · Holo
Estimates are adjusted to typical eBay auction prices. Sold ranges are prices as paid. A dash in the 30-day change column means no change is shown: it needs strong or moderate evidence.
How we got this
A grade's estimate needs 5 or more sales we counted in 90 days; otherwise the panel shows the lowest to highest sale of the last year. When neighbouring grades' sales overlap, or a lower grade's figure would sit above a higher grade's, they share one precision-weighted estimate (each figure weighted by how tight its range is). The 30-day change compares with the last settled estimate and shows only with strong or moderate evidence.
Sales, last 90 days, PSA 4
1 sale we counted · prices as paid
Tap a sale for its record, with the price adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
$49.99Oct 4
Report a missing sale
On eBay now
Listings from eBay, updated Oct 20, 2026, 04:17 UTC (1 hour ago)Current offers at asking prices. These are not completed sales.
No copies listed on eBay right now.
Prices and stock as eBay lists them. eBay is not part of this site.
PSA population
PSA 4: 46 copies graded
Source: Scrydex, report as of Oct 20, 2026. Check PSA's population report
Other grades (12)
| Grade | Copies | |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 186 | |
| PSA 9 | 1,589 | |
| PSA 8.5 | 7 | |
| PSA 8 | 1,114 | |
| PSA 7 | 534 | |
| PSA 6 | 423 | |
| PSA 5 | 188 | |
| PSA 4 · selected | 46 | |
| PSA 3 | 11 | |
| PSA 2.5 | 1 | |
| PSA 2 | 6 | |
| PSA 1 | 15 |
4,123 graded in total. Tracking since Oct 20, 2026; 30-day changes appear once a month of reports is stored.
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