Shining Charizard
BGS 8.5 · 1st Edition estimate
$8,325
Only 1 of its sales is from the last 90 days. A full estimate needs 5.
- Recent sales: middle of the last 3: $7,865, May 17 to Oct 11
- Evidence: limited · 1 sale we counted in the last 90 days · last sale Oct 11
- Next-sale range: $6,039 to $13,320
Updated Oct 20, 2026. Estimate, recent sales and next-sale range: all adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
How close we came: half of 16,528 sales were within 21 percent of our estimate the day before. Group: Wizards era, fewer than 5 sales in 90 days, Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026. See how close we came for similar grades
How we got this
Estimated from similar cards: fewer than 5 sales we counted in 90 days, so the figure is modeled from 1 sale in 90 days, 11 older sales adjusted to today.
Recent sales: the middle (median) of the last 3 sales we counted (May 17 to Oct 11), each adjusted to typical eBay auction prices: Buy It Now and auction-house prices are moved by the gap we measure between venues in this era. The sales list shows the prices paid.
Checked on 16,528 estimate-to-next-sale pairs for grades with fewer than 5 sales in 90 days, Wizards era, from Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026: half the next sales landed within 21 percent of the estimate at the time (as of Oct 18). A record of past estimates, not a guarantee for this card.
Estimates with limited evidence had a median error of 22 percent on 44,262 past cases (Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026).
Evidence: strong means at least 4.5 effective recent sales (older and clustered sales count for less) with a spread under 0.15; moderate, at least 2.8 with a spread under 0.30; limited, anything less. The basis (sales of this grade, or estimated from similar cards) is stated separately.
An estimate from completed sales. Not an offer or an appraisal.
BGS 8.5 · 1st Edition · Aug 24, 2025 to Oct 11, 2026
Holding higher
Since a jump in May 2026, 3 sales over 147 days stayed near $7,865. That is about 1.9 times the earlier $4,200.
Our estimate has moved part of the way: $6,623 on May 16, $8,325 (from similar cards) now.
What this label means
Prices jumped within the last year, and then stayed up. At least 3 sales over 30 days or more sold near the new price, the latest 2 among them. Near means within 1.5 times the usual spread.
The usual spread is how much this grade's price moves from one sale to the next.
Labels describe past sales only. They never change our estimate.
Sales, last 3 years
12 sales plotted · adjusted to typical eBay auction prices
Tap a dot, or tab to it, to see that sale.
Prices are adjusted to typical eBay auction prices. The latest sale is ringed.
About this chart
Log scale: the highest sale is more than 4 times the lowest, so equal steps on the price axis are equal percentage changes.
Buy It Now and auction-house prices are moved by the gap we measure between venues in this era, so every dot is comparable with an eBay auction. Tap a dot to see the price paid.
1 sale in the last 90 days. Each one is listed below.
- Oct 11, 2026: $8,330 (eBay fixed price)
Prices adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
Thinking of buying?
Shining Charizard · BGS 8.5 · 1st Edition
Thinking of selling?
eBay Buy It Nowyou keep about $7,964
eBay takes $1,029 (13.25% to 7,500, 2.35% above) plus $0.40.
Fanatics Buy Nowyou keep about $7,649
Fanatics takes $489 (6%).
Alt fixed priceyou keep about $7,513
Alt takes $566 (7%).
eBay auctionyou keep about $7,306
eBay takes $1,013 (13.25% to 7,500, 2.35% above) plus $0.40.
Alt auctionyou keep about $7,270
Alt charges no seller fee and adds a 8% bonus to the $6,737 winning bid.
Fanatics auctionyou keep about $6,917
Fanatics charges no seller fee and adds a 2% bonus to the $6,787 winning bid.
Card showabout $5,619 (dealers often pay around 68%)
No fees. Dealers often pay around 68% of value. We do not measure their offers.
After fees and about $6 postage, at today's estimate of $8,325.
Goldin is not shown: we do not measure Goldin prices for this era.
How we got this
eBay: the estimate plus the shipping you charge, less eBay's fee on both, less the per-order fee and your postage. The Buy It Now row uses the Buy It Now estimate. Fanatics, Goldin and Alt auctions: the estimate moved to that venue's prices with the gap we measure for this era, divided by one plus the buyer's premium to get the hammer price, then the seller bonus added or the commission taken off, less postage. Fanatics Buy Now and Alt fixed price: that venue's price less its seller fee and postage. Show offer: the estimate times your percentage. Sales tax is left out; eBay also charges its fee on tax the buyer pays. fees as of Oct 19, 2026.
- eBay auction: Trading card fee: 13.25% of the sale up to $7,500. Above that, 2.35% on the rest. The sale counts the price, shipping charged and sales tax. Each order also pays $0.30, or $0.40 over $10. Sales tax is left out here. Checked Oct 19, 2026 (confirmed). Source
- eBay Buy It Now: Same fees as the auction, on the Buy It Now estimate. That is our estimate times this era's usual Buy It Now gap, never below the estimate. Checked Oct 19, 2026 (confirmed). Source
- Fanatics auction: Buyers pay a 20% premium on the hammer price. Our stored Fanatics prices include that 20%. Premier Auction, for cards worth $25,000 or more: the seller gets 110% of the hammer. That rises to 112.5% above $250,000 and 115% above $1,000,000. Weekly Auction: a bonus of 2% to 15% on sales of $50 or more. We use the lowest, 2%. There is no seller fee. Checked Oct 19, 2026 (partly confirmed). Source
- Fanatics Buy Now: Seller fee 6% when listed under 120% of Card Ladder's market value. It is 12% at or above that. Buyers pay no fee. We list at the Fanatics price, so 6% applies. Checked Oct 19, 2026 (confirmed). Source
- Goldin auction: Buyers pay a 22% premium, at least $19. Goldin does not publish its seller commission. About 5% is a typical figure, not confirmed. We do not measure Goldin prices yet, so this route has no figure. Checked Oct 19, 2026 (partly confirmed). Source
- Alt auction: Buyers pay a 20% premium. Sellers pay no fee. The base seller bonus depends on the card's value: 4% under $1,000, 6% to $5,000, 8% to $25,000. It is 10% to $50,000, 12% to $200,000 and 15% above. We use the hammer price for the value. We assume our stored Alt prices include the premium. Checked Oct 19, 2026 (confirmed). Source
- Alt fixed price: Base seller fee: 14% to $249, 9% to $7,499, 7% to $9,999, and 5% from $10,000. Buyers pay no fee. Checked Oct 19, 2026 (confirmed). Source
- Show offer: No fee. Your own percentage of the estimate. The default follows the evidence: 87.5% strong, 80% moderate, 67.5% limited. Checked not checked (not applicable).
Grades · BGS · 1st Edition
Grades 7 to 7.5 share one estimate so a lower grade never shows above a higher one.
Estimates are adjusted to typical eBay auction prices. Sold ranges are prices as paid. A dash in the 30-day change column means no change is shown: it needs strong or moderate evidence.
How we got this
A grade's estimate needs 5 or more sales we counted in 90 days; otherwise the panel shows the lowest to highest sale of the last year. When neighbouring grades' sales overlap, or a lower grade's figure would sit above a higher grade's, they share one precision-weighted estimate (each figure weighted by how tight its range is). The 30-day change compares with the last settled estimate and shows only with strong or moderate evidence.
Printings · BGS 8.5
Sales, last 90 days, BGS 8.5 · 1st Edition
1 sale we counted · prices as paid
Tap a sale for its record, with the price adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
$8,999Oct 11
Report a missing sale
On eBay now
Listings from eBay, updated Oct 20, 2026, 00:17 UTC (3 hours ago)Current offers at asking prices. These are not completed sales.
$15,000Buy It Now · Best offer2002 Pokemon First Edition Shining Charizard 107/105 Neo Destiny BGS 8.5Seller feedback 2,822 (100% positive)View on eBay
Prices and stock as eBay lists them. eBay is not part of this site.
Population
No population report for this printing yet.
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