BGS 8.5 · Unlimited estimate
$1,609
Updated Oct 20, 2026. Estimate, recent sales and next-sale range: all adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
How close we came: half of 54,252 sales were within 11 percent of our estimate the day before. Group: Wizards era, 9 or more sales in 90 days, Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 19, 2026. See how close we came for similar grades
A full estimate: 11 sales we counted in the last 90 days, weighted toward the most recent.
Recent sales: the middle (median) of the last 3 sales we counted (Oct 11 to Oct 12), each adjusted to typical eBay auction prices: Buy It Now and auction-house prices are moved by the gap we measure between venues in this era. The sales list shows the prices paid.
Checked on 54,252 estimate-to-next-sale pairs for grades with 9 or more sales in 90 days, Wizards era, from Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 19, 2026: half the next sales landed within 11 percent of the estimate at the time (as of Oct 20). A record of past estimates, not a guarantee for this card.
Estimates with strong evidence had a median error of 9 percent on 16,428 past cases (Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026).
Sales in the last 90 days ran from $1,225 (Aug 10) to $2,000 (Sep 30) (11 sales, prices paid).
Evidence: strong means at least 4.5 effective recent sales (older and clustered sales count for less) with a spread under 0.15; moderate, at least 2.8 with a spread under 0.30; limited, anything less. The basis (sales of this grade, or estimated from similar cards) is stated separately.
An estimate from completed sales. Not an offer or an appraisal.
Holding higher
Since a jump in Apr 2026, 10 sales over 180 days stayed near $1,897. That is about 1.6 times the earlier $1,018.
Our estimate has moved with them: $1,160 on Apr 14, $1,609 now.
Prices jumped within the last year, and then stayed up. At least 3 sales over 30 days or more sold near the new price, the latest 2 among them. Near means within 1.5 times the usual spread.
The usual spread is how much this grade's price moves from one sale to the next.
Labels describe past sales only. They never change our estimate.
11 sales plotted · adjusted to typical eBay auction prices
Tap a dot, or tab to it, to see that sale.
Prices are adjusted to typical eBay auction prices. The latest sale is ringed.
Buy It Now and auction-house prices are moved by the gap we measure between venues in this era, so every dot is comparable with an eBay auction. Tap a dot to see the price paid.
Shining Gyarados · BGS 8.5 · Unlimited · 1 year
Dots are sales at the price paid. The line is our estimate, adjusted to typical eBay auction prices. From Oct 17, 2026, each point is the estimate we published that night. Before Oct 17, 2026, the points were rebuilt later from past sales.
Last point on this chart: Oct 20, 2026, estimate then $1,609. Adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
Shining Gyarados · BGS 8.5 · Unlimited
eBay takes $230 (13.25%) plus $0.40.
Fanatics takes $94 (6%).
Alt takes $141 (9%).
No fees. Dealers often pay around 88% of value. We do not measure their offers.
eBay takes $213 (13.25%) plus $0.40.
Alt charges no seller fee and adds a 6% bonus to the $1,302 winning bid.
Fanatics charges no seller fee and adds a 2% bonus to the $1,312 winning bid.
After fees and about $6 postage, at today's estimate of $1,609.
Goldin is not shown: we do not measure Goldin prices for this era.
eBay: the estimate plus the shipping you charge, less eBay's fee on both, less the per-order fee and your postage. The Buy It Now row uses the Buy It Now estimate. Fanatics, Goldin and Alt auctions: the estimate moved to that venue's prices with the gap we measure for this era, divided by one plus the buyer's premium to get the hammer price, then the seller bonus added or the commission taken off, less postage. Fanatics Buy Now and Alt fixed price: that venue's price less its seller fee and postage. Show offer: the estimate times your percentage. Sales tax is left out; eBay also charges its fee on tax the buyer pays. fees as of Oct 19, 2026.
Grades 7 to 7.5 share one estimate. Their recent sales overlap, so we do not rank them apart.
Grades 5 to 6 share one estimate so a lower grade never shows above a higher one.
Grades 4 to 4.5 share one estimate. Their recent sales overlap, so we do not rank them apart.
Grades 2.5 to 3 share one estimate so a lower grade never shows above a higher one.
Estimates are adjusted to typical eBay auction prices. Sold ranges are prices as paid. A dash in the 30-day change column means no change is shown: it needs strong or moderate evidence.
A grade's estimate needs 5 or more sales we counted in 90 days; otherwise the panel shows the lowest to highest sale of the last year. When neighbouring grades' sales overlap, or a lower grade's figure would sit above a higher grade's, they share one precision-weighted estimate (each figure weighted by how tight its range is). The 30-day change compares with the last settled estimate and shows only with strong or moderate evidence.
11 sales we counted · prices as paid
Tap a sale for its record, with the price adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
Current offers at asking prices. These are not completed sales.



Prices and stock as eBay lists them. eBay is not part of this site.
No population report for this printing yet.
No sales in the last 7 days; the last sale was $1,984 paid, 7 days ago. Last 30 days: 5 sales, middle sale $1,835 adjusted. Last 90 days: 11 sales, middle sale $1,564 adjusted, 9 percent below the 90 days before. Last 12 months: 26 sales, $925 to $2,350 paid. Of 9 other grades with 5 or more sales in 90 days, 6 rose and 3 fell. Movement label since Apr 15, 2026: Holding higher.
Prices adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
Paid is what the buyer paid. Adjusted means adjusted to typical eBay auction prices. Changes compare adjusted prices.
This text is built each night from the sales shown on this page, last on Oct 20, 2026. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast. Every number in it is checked against the stored facts before it is shown.
Each window's middle sale is the middle of its sales, once as paid and once adjusted. A change compares the adjusted middle sale with the window of the same length just before it, and only when both have 3 or more sales. Our estimate's change uses the figure the site showed on the window's first day.