Lugia

Estimated from similar cards: fewer than 5 sales we counted in 90 days, so the figure is modeled from 3 sales in 90 days, 11 older sales adjusted to today.

Recent sales broke from the earlier level, so the estimate restarted from them on Sep 28 (2 sales since). It stays at limited evidence until 5 sales since.

Recent sales: the middle (median) of the last 3 sales we counted (Aug 9 to Sep 28), each adjusted to typical eBay auction prices: Buy It Now and auction-house prices are moved by the gap we measure between venues in this era. The sales list shows the prices paid.

Checked on 16,528 estimate-to-next-sale pairs for grades with fewer than 5 sales in 90 days, Wizards era, from Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026: half the next sales landed within 21 percent of the estimate at the time (as of Oct 18). A record of past estimates, not a guarantee for this card.

Estimates with limited evidence had a median error of 22 percent on 44,262 past cases (Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026).

Sales in the last 90 days ran from $1,280 (Aug 9) to $1,874 (Sep 28) (3 sales, prices paid).

Last sale 20 days ago. Since then, Wizards sales have run 5 percent above their previous prices.

Evidence: strong means at least 4.5 effective recent sales (older and clustered sales count for less) with a spread under 0.15; moderate, at least 2.8 with a spread under 0.30; limited, anything less. The basis (sales of this grade, or estimated from similar cards) is stated separately.

See how close we came for similar grades

What these words mean · Methodology