Charizard

Estimated from similar cards: fewer than 5 sales we counted in 90 days, so the figure is modeled from 4 sales in 90 days, PSA 3 prices.

This grade's own figure was $173, out of order with the other grades. Its own sales conflict with the grade below, so the estimate is the other grades times the typical ratio between the two grades (1.01, era and price tier (12 cards)), limited to 3 times its own figure and 1.5 times its highest sale we counted in three years.

Recent sales: the middle (median) of the last 3 sales we counted (Aug 26 to Oct 7), each adjusted to typical eBay auction prices: Buy It Now and auction-house prices are moved by the gap we measure between venues in this era. The sales list shows the prices paid.

Checked on 16,528 estimate-to-next-sale pairs for grades with fewer than 5 sales in 90 days, Wizards era, from Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026: half the next sales landed within 21 percent of the estimate at the time (as of Oct 18). A record of past estimates, not a guarantee for this card.

Estimates with limited evidence had a median error of 22 percent on 44,262 past cases (Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026).

Sales in the last 90 days ran from $160.00 (Aug 22) to $185.00 (Oct 7) (4 sales, prices paid).

Evidence: strong means at least 4.5 effective recent sales (older and clustered sales count for less) with a spread under 0.15; moderate, at least 2.8 with a spread under 0.30; limited, anything less. The basis (sales of this grade, or estimated from similar cards) is stated separately.

See how close we came for similar grades

What these words mean · Methodology