Charizard

A full estimate: 8 sales we counted in the last 90 days, weighted toward the most recent.

Recent sales broke from the earlier level, so the estimate restarted from them on Oct 1 (2 sales since). It stays at limited evidence until 5 sales since.

This grade's own figure was $14,780, out of order with the other grades. Its own sales conflict with the grade below, so the estimate is the other grades times the typical ratio between the two grades (1.21, era (9 cards)), limited to 3 times its own figure and 1.5 times its highest sale we counted in three years.

Recent sales: the middle (median) of the last 3 sales we counted (Oct 1 to Oct 14), each adjusted to typical eBay auction prices: Buy It Now and auction-house prices are moved by the gap we measure between venues in this era. The sales list shows the prices paid.

Checked on 10,522 estimate-to-next-sale pairs for grades with 5 to 8 sales in 90 days, Wizards era, from Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026: half the next sales landed within 17 percent of the estimate at the time (as of Oct 18). A record of past estimates, not a guarantee for this card.

Estimates with limited evidence had a median error of 20 percent on 25,291 past cases (Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026).

Sales in the last 90 days ran from $7,000 (Jul 23) to $17,500 (Oct 14) (8 sales, prices paid).

Evidence: strong means at least 4.5 effective recent sales (older and clustered sales count for less) with a spread under 0.15; moderate, at least 2.8 with a spread under 0.30; limited, anything less. The basis (sales of this grade, or estimated from similar cards) is stated separately.

See how close we came for similar grades

What these words mean · Methodology