Lugia
HGSS Black Star Promos · #HGSS02 · 2010 · Holo
CGC 8.5 · Holo estimate
$730
Huge jump · last 3 sales about 6.4 times the 2 before
Estimated from this grade's 5 sales of the last year
Only 3 of its sales are from the last 90 days. A full estimate needs 5.
- Recent sales: middle of the last 3: $959, Aug 24 to Oct 15
- Evidence: limited · 3 sales we counted in the last 90 days · last sale Oct 15
- Sold this past year: $150 to $1,325 as paid
Updated Oct 20, 2026. Estimate and recent sales (the sold range is as paid): all adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
How close we came: half of 2,765 sales were within 25 percent of our estimate the day before. Group: Diamond & Pearl to HGSS, fewer than 5 sales in 90 days, Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 18, 2026. See how close we came for similar grades
How we got this
Fewer than 5 sales we counted in 90 days and too little related data for a modeled figure, so this is the plausibility-weighted median of this grade's own 5 sales in the last 365 days, each moved to today by how this era's prices have changed since it sold. A sale far from the others counts for less.
Recent sales broke from the earlier level, so the estimate restarted from them on Oct 15 (2 sales since). It stays at limited evidence until 5 sales since.
Recent sales: the middle (median) of the last 3 sales we counted (Aug 24 to Oct 15), each adjusted to typical eBay auction prices: Buy It Now and auction-house prices are moved by the gap we measure between venues in this era. The sales list shows the prices paid.
Checked on 2,765 estimate-to-next-sale pairs for grades with fewer than 5 sales in 90 days, Diamond & Pearl to HGSS, from Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 18, 2026: half the next sales landed within 25 percent of the estimate at the time (as of Oct 20). A record of past estimates, not a guarantee for this card.
Estimates with limited evidence had a median error of 22 percent on 44,262 past cases (Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026).
Sales in the last 90 days ran from $399.99 (Aug 24) to $1,325 (Oct 14) (3 sales, prices paid).
Evidence: strong means at least 4.5 effective recent sales (older and clustered sales count for less) with a spread under 0.15; moderate, at least 2.8 with a spread under 0.30; limited, anything less. The basis (sales of this grade, or estimated from similar cards) is stated separately.
An estimate from completed sales. Not an offer or an appraisal.
CGC 8.5 · Holo · Mar 4 to Oct 15
Huge jump
The last 3 sales, Aug 24 to Oct 15, were about 6.4 times the 2 sales before them.
Checking these sales; usually confirmed within a day.
Our estimate is $731. That is 24 percent below their middle sale.
What this label means
The latest 2 or more sales in a row came in the last 60 days. Each sold for at least 2 times the earlier price. Each is also more than 2.5 times the usual spread above it.
The earlier price is the middle sale of this grade in the 180 days before these sales.
The usual spread is how much this grade's price moves from one sale to the next.
Labels describe past sales only. They never change our estimate.
Sales, last year
5 sales plotted · adjusted to typical eBay auction prices
Tap a dot, or tab to it, to see that sale.
Prices are adjusted to typical eBay auction prices. The latest sale is ringed.
About this chart
Log scale: the highest sale is more than 4 times the lowest, so equal steps on the price axis are equal percentage changes.
Buy It Now and auction-house prices are moved by the gap we measure between venues in this era, so every dot is comparable with an eBay auction. Tap a dot to see the price paid.
Last 7 days: 2 sales, $1,066 and $1,325 paid. Last 30 days: the same 2 sales. Last 90 days: 3 sales, middle sale $959 adjusted. Last 12 months: 5 sales, $150 to $1,325 paid. Movement label since Aug 24, 2026: Huge jump.
- Aug 24, 2026: $400 (eBay format unknown)
- Oct 14, 2026: $1,330 (eBay auction)
- Oct 15, 2026: $959 (eBay fixed price)
Prices adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
Paid is what the buyer paid. Adjusted means adjusted to typical eBay auction prices. Changes compare adjusted prices.
How we got this
This text is built each night from the sales shown on this page, last on Oct 20, 2026. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast. Every number in it is checked against the stored facts before it is shown.
Each window's middle sale is the middle of its sales, once as paid and once adjusted. A change compares the adjusted middle sale with the window of the same length just before it, and only when both have 3 or more sales. Our estimate's change uses the figure the site showed on the window's first day.
- Last 7 days: 2 sales; middle sale $1,195 paid, $1,142 adjusted; lowest $1,066 on Oct 15, 2026, highest $1,325 on Oct 14, 2026, paid
- Last 30 days: 2 sales; middle sale $1,195 paid, $1,142 adjusted; lowest $1,066 on Oct 15, 2026, highest $1,325 on Oct 14, 2026, paid
- Last 90 days: 3 sales; middle sale $1,066 paid, $959 adjusted; lowest $400 on Aug 24, 2026, highest $1,325 on Oct 14, 2026, paid
- Last 12 months: 5 sales; middle sale $400 paid, $400 adjusted; lowest $150 on Mar 4, 2026, highest $1,325 on Oct 14, 2026, paid
Estimate history, last year
Lugia · CGC 8.5 · 1 year
Dots are sales at the price paid. The line is our estimate, adjusted to typical eBay auction prices. These points were rebuilt later from past sales, not shown at the time.
Last point on this chart: Oct 16, 2026, estimate then $719. Adjusted to typical eBay auction prices. The estimate at the top is the one updated Oct 20, 2026.
Thinking of buying?
Lugia · CGC 8.5 · Holo
Thinking of selling?
eBay Buy It Nowsells for about $811you keep about $697
eBay takes $108 (13.25%) plus $0.40. You pay about $6 postage. Sale price: our estimate plus the usual extra Buy It Now buyers paid for this era.
Fanatics Buy Nowsells for about $746you keep about $696
Fanatics takes $44 (6%). You pay about $6 postage. Sale price: our estimate adjusted to Fanatics prices for this era.
Fanatics auctionsells for about $746you keep about $628
Hammer about $622; the buyer adds a 20% premium ($124). Fanatics adds a 2% bonus ($12) to your hammer. You pay about $6 postage. Sale price: our estimate adjusted to Fanatics prices for this era.
eBay auctionsells for about $730you keep about $627
eBay takes $97 (13.25%) plus $0.40. You pay about $6 postage. Sale price: our estimate.
Card showdealers often pay 65% to 80%about $474 to $584 cash
For cards like this, in cash, with no fees: you keep it all. Store credit or trade is often 5 to 10 points more. Based on what dealers report paying for graded cards $100 to $1,000. How we set this
Sale prices differ by place: Buy It Now buyers usually pay more, and auction houses add a buyer's premium. You keep the price minus fees and about $6 postage. Our estimate today: $730.
Goldin is not shown: we do not measure Goldin prices for this era.
Alt is not shown: we do not measure Alt prices for this era.
How we got this
eBay: the estimate plus the shipping you charge, less eBay's fee on both, less the per-order fee and your postage. The Buy It Now row uses the Buy It Now estimate. Fanatics, Goldin and Alt auctions: the estimate moved to that venue's prices with the gap we measure for this era, divided by one plus the buyer's premium to get the hammer price, then the seller bonus added or the commission taken off, less postage. Fanatics Buy Now and Alt fixed price: that venue's price less its seller fee and postage. Card show: the range dealers often pay for a card of this value, higher for grades that sell often and lower for grades that rarely sell (see Methodology); the figure used to rank it is the middle of that range, or the estimate times your percentage. With your own price, every place takes it as what the buyer pays, and an auction's hammer is that price less the buyer's premium. Sales tax is left out; eBay also charges its fee on tax the buyer pays. fees as of Oct 19, 2026.
- eBay auction: Trading card fee: 13.25% of the sale up to $7,500. Above that, 2.35% on the rest. The sale counts the price, shipping charged and sales tax. Each order also pays $0.30, or $0.40 over $10. Sales tax is left out here. Checked Oct 19, 2026 (confirmed). Source
- eBay Buy It Now: Same fees as the auction, on the Buy It Now estimate. That is our estimate times this era's usual Buy It Now gap, never below the estimate. Checked Oct 19, 2026 (confirmed). Source
- Fanatics auction: Buyers pay a 20% premium on the hammer price. Our stored Fanatics prices include that 20%. Premier Auction, for cards worth $25,000 or more: the seller gets 110% of the hammer. That rises to 112.5% above $250,000 and 115% above $1,000,000. Weekly Auction: a bonus of 2% to 15% on sales of $50 or more. We use the lowest, 2%. There is no seller fee. Checked Oct 19, 2026 (partly confirmed). Source
- Fanatics Buy Now: Seller fee 6% when listed under 120% of Card Ladder's market value. It is 12% at or above that. Buyers pay no fee. We list at the Fanatics price, so 6% applies. Checked Oct 19, 2026 (confirmed). Source
- Goldin auction: Buyers pay a 22% premium, at least $19. Goldin does not publish its seller commission. About 5% is a typical figure, not confirmed. We do not measure Goldin prices yet, so this route has no figure. Checked Oct 19, 2026 (partly confirmed). Source
- Alt auction: Buyers pay a 20% premium. Sellers pay no fee. The base seller bonus depends on the card's value: 4% under $1,000, 6% to $5,000, 8% to $25,000. It is 10% to $50,000, 12% to $200,000 and 15% above. We use the hammer price for the value. We assume our stored Alt prices include the premium. Checked Oct 19, 2026 (confirmed). Source
- Alt fixed price: Base seller fee: 14% to $249, 9% to $7,499, 7% to $9,999, and 5% from $10,000. Buyers pay no fee. Checked Oct 19, 2026 (confirmed). Source
- Show offer: No fee. Your own percentage of the estimate. The default follows the evidence: 87.5% strong, 80% moderate, 67.5% limited. Checked not checked (not applicable).
Grades · CGC · Holo
Grades 8 to 8.5 share one estimate. Their recent sales overlap, so we do not rank them apart.
Estimates are adjusted to typical eBay auction prices. Sold ranges are prices as paid. A dash in the 30-day change column means no change is shown: it needs strong or moderate evidence.
How we got this
A grade's estimate needs 5 or more sales we counted in 90 days; otherwise the panel shows the lowest to highest sale of the last year. When neighbouring grades' sales overlap, or a lower grade's figure would sit above a higher grade's, they share one precision-weighted estimate (each figure weighted by how tight its range is). The 30-day change compares with the last settled estimate and shows only with strong or moderate evidence.
Sales, last 90 days, CGC 8.5
3 sales we counted · prices as paid
Tap a sale for its record, with the price adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
$1,066Oct 15
$1,325Oct 14
$399.99Aug 24
Report a missing sale
On eBay now
Listings from eBay, updated Oct 20, 2026, 08:17 UTC (1 hour ago)Current offers at asking prices. These are not completed sales.
No copies listed on eBay right now.
Prices and stock as eBay lists them. eBay is not part of this site.
Population
No population report for this printing yet.
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