Charizard ex

Fewer than 5 sales we counted in 90 days and too little related data for a modeled figure, so this is the plausibility-weighted median of this grade's own 15 sales in the last 365 days, each moved to today by how this era's prices have changed since it sold. A sale far from the others counts for less.

Kept in line with PSA 1 Holofoil: an estimate on thin evidence may not sit above a better-supported higher grade or below a lower one.

Recent sales: the middle (median) of the last 3 sales we counted (Jun 7 to Jul 24), each adjusted to typical eBay auction prices: Buy It Now and auction-house prices are moved by the gap we measure between venues in this era. The sales list shows the prices paid.

Checked on 7,659 estimate-to-next-sale pairs for grades with fewer than 5 sales in 90 days, EX era, from Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026: half the next sales landed within 19 percent of the estimate at the time (as of Oct 18). A record of past estimates, not a guarantee for this card.

Estimates with limited evidence had a median error of 22 percent on 44,262 past cases (Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026).

Last sale 87 days ago. Since then, EX sales have run 9 percent above their previous prices.

Evidence: strong means at least 4.5 effective recent sales (older and clustered sales count for less) with a spread under 0.15; moderate, at least 2.8 with a spread under 0.30; limited, anything less. The basis (sales of this grade, or estimated from similar cards) is stated separately.

See how close we came for similar grades

What these words mean · Methodology