Lugia ex

A full estimate: 18 sales we counted in the last 90 days, weighted toward the most recent.

Recent sales broke from the earlier level, so the estimate restarted from them on Sep 20 (2 sales since). It stays at limited evidence until 5 sales since.

Recent sales: the middle (median) of the last 3 sales we counted (Sep 27 to Oct 14), each adjusted to typical eBay auction prices: Buy It Now and auction-house prices are moved by the gap we measure between venues in this era. The sales list shows the prices paid.

Checked on 6,264 estimate-to-next-sale pairs for grades with 9 or more sales in 90 days, EX era, from Jan 2, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026: half the next sales landed within 15 percent of the estimate at the time (as of Oct 18). A record of past estimates, not a guarantee for this card.

Estimates with moderate evidence had a median error of 11 percent on 57,634 past cases (Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026).

Sales in the last 90 days ran from $2,214 (Aug 26) to $8,000 (Oct 14) (18 sales, prices paid).

Market-wide move: its set without this card: breadth +0.37, middle sale +30% over 30 days (38 grades); its era without this card: breadth +0.29, middle sale +14% over 30 days (814 grades).

Evidence: strong means at least 4.5 effective recent sales (older and clustered sales count for less) with a spread under 0.15; moderate, at least 2.8 with a spread under 0.30; limited, anything less. The basis (sales of this grade, or estimated from similar cards) is stated separately.

See how close we came for similar grades

What these words mean · Methodology