Charizard
Estimated value · BGS 8.5 · Reverse Holo · updated Oct 19
$3,866
- Recent sales: middle of the last 3: $4,163, Feb 17 to Oct 14
- Evidence: limited · 2 sales in 180 days · last Oct 14
- Next-sale range: $2,804 to $6,185
Estimate, recent sales and range: adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
How we got this
Estimated from similar cards: fewer than 5 sales we counted in 90 days, so the figure is modeled from 2 sales in 90 days, 7 older sales adjusted to today, BGS 9 and BGS 8 prices.
Recent sales: the middle (median) of the last 3 sales we counted (Feb 17 to Oct 14), each adjusted to typical eBay auction prices: Buy It Now and auction-house prices are moved by the gap we measure between venues in this era. The sales list shows the prices paid.
Checked on 16,528 estimate-to-next-sale pairs for grades with fewer than 5 sales in 90 days, Wizards era, from Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026: half the next sales landed within 21 percent of the estimate at the time (as of Oct 18). A record of past estimates, not a guarantee for this card.
Estimates with limited evidence had a median error of 22 percent on 44,262 past cases (Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026).
Sales in the last 90 days ran from $4,500 (Oct 3) to $5,710 (Oct 14) (2 sales, prices paid).
Evidence: strong means at least 4.5 effective recent sales (older and clustered sales count for less) with a spread under 0.15; moderate, at least 2.8 with a spread under 0.30; limited, anything less. The basis (sales of this grade, or estimated from similar cards) is stated separately.
An estimate from completed sales. Not an offer or an appraisal.
Unconfirmed rise
2 sales since Oct 3 sold above earlier sales. Prices may be rising, but this is not confirmed yet.
- Last 2 sales vs 4 before: +66%
- Vs our estimate: +37%
- Estimate since the move began: 0%
Of 1,306 past signals like this, 40 percent were confirmed or settled within 90 days. A record, not a forecast.
How we got this
The middle of the last 2 sales against the middle of the 4 before them (Oct vs Oct 2025 to Feb 2026), adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
Our estimate $3,860 (estimated from similar cards) through Oct 14.
The estimate was $3,860 on Oct 14 and is $3,860 now.
Signals counted for grades with fewer than 5 sales in 90 days, Jan 1, 2025 to Jul 20, 2026.
Sales, last year · 6
Each dot is a sale; tap one for details. Prices are adjusted to typical eBay auction prices. The latest sale is ringed.
About this chart
Buy It Now and auction-house prices are moved by the gap we measure between venues in this era, so every dot is comparable with an eBay auction. Tap a dot to see the price paid.
2 sales in the last 90 days: $4,160 on Oct 3, 2026 (eBay fixed price); $5,280 on Oct 14, 2026 (eBay fixed price). (Prices adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.)
Buy It Now estimate: $3,866 to $4,811. Our estimate plus the usual extra people pay to buy at once in this era.
Momentum: Unconfirmed rise
Detected Oct 14. Confirmed after 2 separate days of sales that hold the new level; 1 so far.
What ends it: later sales falling back, or our estimate catching up (shown as Settled). It also ends after 45 days without a sale at the new level.
On eBay now
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Prices and stock as eBay lists them. eBay is not part of this site.
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Compared with the 2 sales of the last 90 days.
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Grades · Reverse Holo
Grades 7 to 8 share one estimate. Their recent sales overlap, so we do not rank them apart.
Grades 2 to 5.5 share one estimate so a lower grade never shows above a higher one.
Our estimate for each grade, with the change over 30 days and how much evidence backs it. Grades with few recent sales show the range of what sold instead.
How we got this
A grade's estimate needs 5 or more sales we counted in 90 days; otherwise the panel shows the lowest to highest sale of the last year. When neighbouring grades' sales overlap, or a lower grade's figure would sit above a higher grade's, they share one precision-weighted estimate (each figure weighted by how tight its range is). The 30-day change compares with the last settled estimate and shows only with strong or moderate evidence.
Sales, last 90 days, BGS 8.5 · Reverse Holo
Prices as paid. Tap a sale to see it adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
Report a missing sale
Population
No population report for this printing yet.
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