Nidoking
Estimated value · BGS 9 · updated Oct 19
$2,960
- Recent sales: middle of the last 3: $583, Aug 10 to Oct 2
- Evidence: limited · 9 sales in 180 days · last Oct 2
- Next-sale range: $2,147 to $4,736
Estimate, recent sales and range: adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
How we got this
Estimated from similar cards: fewer than 5 sales we counted in 90 days, so the figure is modeled from 3 sales in 90 days, 37 older sales adjusted to today, BGS 8.5 prices.
Recent sales broke from the earlier level, so the estimate restarted from them on Sep 20 (2 sales since). It stays at limited evidence until 5 sales since.
Recent sales: the middle (median) of the last 3 sales we counted (Aug 10 to Oct 2), each adjusted to typical eBay auction prices: Buy It Now and auction-house prices are moved by the gap we measure between venues in this era. The sales list shows the prices paid.
Checked on 16,528 estimate-to-next-sale pairs for grades with fewer than 5 sales in 90 days, Wizards era, from Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026: half the next sales landed within 21 percent of the estimate at the time (as of Oct 18). A record of past estimates, not a guarantee for this card.
Estimates with limited evidence had a median error of 22 percent on 44,262 past cases (Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026).
Sales in the last 90 days ran from $318.00 (Aug 10) to $4,500 (Oct 2) (3 sales, prices paid).
Last sale 16 days ago. Since then, Wizards sales have run 5 percent above their previous prices.
Evidence: strong means at least 4.5 effective recent sales (older and clustered sales count for less) with a spread under 0.15; moderate, at least 2.8 with a spread under 0.30; limited, anything less. The basis (sales of this grade, or estimated from similar cards) is stated separately.
An estimate from completed sales. Not an offer or an appraisal.
Unconfirmed drop
2 sales since Aug 10 sold below earlier sales. Prices may be falling, but this is not confirmed yet.
- Last 3 sales vs 15 before: −79%
- Vs our estimate: −80%
- Estimate since the move began: +3%
Of 370 past signals like this, 20 percent were confirmed or settled within 45 days. A record, not a forecast.
How we got this
The middle of the last 3 sales against the middle of the 15 before them (Aug to Oct vs Nov 2025 to Jul 2026), adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
Our estimate $2,976 (estimated from similar cards) through Oct 2.
The estimate was $2,878 on Sep 20 and is $2,976 now.
Signals counted for grades with 5 to 8 sales in 90 days, Jan 1, 2025 to Sep 3, 2026.
Sales, last year · 19
Each dot is a sale; tap one for details. Prices are adjusted to typical eBay auction prices. The latest sale is ringed.
About this chart
Log scale: the highest sale is more than 4 times the lowest, so equal steps on the price axis are equal percentage changes.
Buy It Now and auction-house prices are moved by the gap we measure between venues in this era, so every dot is comparable with an eBay auction. Tap a dot to see the price paid.
Momentum: Unconfirmed drop
Detected Sep 20. Confirmed after 2 separate days of sales that hold the new level; 1 so far.
What ends it: later sales falling back, or our estimate catching up (shown as Settled). It also ends after 45 days without a sale at the new level.
On eBay now
Listings from eBay · updated less than an hour agoNo copies listed by sellers with strong feedback right now.
Prices and stock as eBay lists them. eBay is not part of this site.
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Compared with the 3 sales of the last 90 days.
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Grades
Grades 5 to 6.5 share one estimate so a lower grade never shows above a higher one.
Our estimate for each grade, with the change over 30 days and how much evidence backs it. Grades with few recent sales show the range of what sold instead.
How we got this
A grade's estimate needs 5 or more sales we counted in 90 days; otherwise the panel shows the lowest to highest sale of the last year. When neighbouring grades' sales overlap, or a lower grade's figure would sit above a higher grade's, they share one precision-weighted estimate (each figure weighted by how tight its range is). The 30-day change compares with the last settled estimate and shows only with strong or moderate evidence.
Sales, last 90 days, BGS 9
Prices as paid. Tap a sale to see it adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
Report a missing sale
Population
No population report for this printing yet.
