Charizard
Estimated value · BGS 8.5 · Holo · updated Oct 19
$1,989
- Recent sales: middle of the last 3: $2,498, Oct 2 to Oct 8
- Evidence: moderate · 12 sales in 180 days · last Oct 8
- Next-sale range: $1,684 to $2,688
Estimate, recent sales and range: adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
How we got this
A full estimate: 11 sales we counted in the last 90 days, weighted toward the most recent.
Recent sales: the middle (median) of the last 3 sales we counted (Oct 2 to Oct 8), each adjusted to typical eBay auction prices: Buy It Now and auction-house prices are moved by the gap we measure between venues in this era. The sales list shows the prices paid.
Checked on 54,208 estimate-to-next-sale pairs for grades with 9 or more sales in 90 days, Wizards era, from Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026: half the next sales landed within 11 percent of the estimate at the time (as of Oct 18). A record of past estimates, not a guarantee for this card.
Estimates with moderate evidence had a median error of 11 percent on 57,634 past cases (Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026).
Sales in the last 90 days ran from $1,262 (Aug 21) to $3,250 (Oct 2) (11 sales, prices paid).
Evidence: strong means at least 4.5 effective recent sales (older and clustered sales count for less) with a spread under 0.15; moderate, at least 2.8 with a spread under 0.30; limited, anything less. The basis (sales of this grade, or estimated from similar cards) is stated separately.
An estimate from completed sales. Not an offer or an appraisal.
Unconfirmed rise
3 sales since Oct 2 sold above earlier sales. Prices may be rising, but this is not confirmed yet.
- Last 3 sales vs 8 before: +75%
- Vs our estimate: +26%
- Estimate since the move began: +1%
Of 1,448 past signals like this, 65 percent were confirmed or settled within 30 days. A record, not a forecast.
How we got this
The middle of the last 3 sales against the middle of the 8 before them (Oct vs Apr to Sep), adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
Our estimate $1,989 from 11 sales through Oct 8.
The estimate was $1,974 on Oct 8 and is $1,989 now.
Signals counted for grades with 9 or more sales in 90 days, Jan 1, 2025 to Sep 18, 2026.
Sales, last 90 days · 11
Each dot is a sale; tap one for details. Prices are adjusted to typical eBay auction prices. The latest sale is ringed.
About this chart
Buy It Now and auction-house prices are moved by the gap we measure between venues in this era, so every dot is comparable with an eBay auction. Tap a dot to see the price paid.
Sales had a median of $1,410 from Jul 26, 2026 to Sep 6, 2026 (7 sales). Since Sep 26, 2026, 4 sales ranged from $1,970 to $3,010. (Prices adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.)
Momentum: Unconfirmed rise
Detected Oct 8. Confirmed after 2 separate days of sales that hold the new level; 2 so far.
What ends it: later sales falling back, or our estimate catching up (shown as Settled). It also ends after 45 days without a sale at the new level.
Charizard · BGS 8.5 · Holo · 1 year
Oct 19, 2026 · estimate $1,989 · that week: no sales
On eBay now
Listings from eBay · updated 2 hours agoNo copies listed on eBay right now.
Prices and stock as eBay lists them. eBay is not part of this site.
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Compared with the 11 sales of the last 90 days and the estimate.
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Grades · Holo
Our estimate for each grade, with the change over 30 days and how much evidence backs it. Grades with few recent sales show the range of what sold instead.
How we got this
A grade's estimate needs 5 or more sales we counted in 90 days; otherwise the panel shows the lowest to highest sale of the last year. When neighbouring grades' sales overlap, or a lower grade's figure would sit above a higher grade's, they share one precision-weighted estimate (each figure weighted by how tight its range is). The 30-day change compares with the last settled estimate and shows only with strong or moderate evidence.
Sales, last 90 days, BGS 8.5 · Holo
Prices as paid. Tap a sale to see it adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
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Population
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