Lugia
PSA 4 · Holo estimate
$647
Estimated from this grade's 18 sales of the last year
Only 4 of its sales are from the last 90 days. A full estimate needs 5.
- Recent sales: middle of the last 3: $405, Sep 14 to Sep 19
- Evidence: limited · 4 sales we counted in the last 90 days · last sale Sep 19
- Sold this past year: $181 to $534 as paid
Updated Oct 20, 2026. Estimate and recent sales (the sold range is as paid): all adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
How close we came: half of 2,764 sales were within 25 percent of our estimate the day before. Group: Diamond & Pearl to HGSS, fewer than 5 sales in 90 days, Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 15, 2026. See how close we came for similar grades
How we got this
Fewer than 5 sales we counted in 90 days and too little related data for a modeled figure, so this is the plausibility-weighted median of this grade's own 18 sales in the last 365 days, each moved to today by how this era's prices have changed since it sold. A sale far from the others counts for less.
Recent sales: the middle (median) of the last 3 sales we counted (Sep 14 to Sep 19), each adjusted to typical eBay auction prices: Buy It Now and auction-house prices are moved by the gap we measure between venues in this era. The sales list shows the prices paid.
Checked on 2,764 estimate-to-next-sale pairs for grades with fewer than 5 sales in 90 days, Diamond & Pearl to HGSS, from Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 15, 2026: half the next sales landed within 25 percent of the estimate at the time (as of Oct 18). A record of past estimates, not a guarantee for this card.
Estimates with limited evidence had a median error of 22 percent on 44,262 past cases (Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026).
Sales in the last 90 days ran from $405.00 (Sep 19) to $534.10 (Sep 18) (4 sales, prices paid).
Last sale Sep 19, 2026 (31 days ago). Since then, Diamond & Pearl to HGSS sales have run 11 percent above their previous prices.
Evidence: strong means at least 4.5 effective recent sales (older and clustered sales count for less) with a spread under 0.15; moderate, at least 2.8 with a spread under 0.30; limited, anything less. The basis (sales of this grade, or estimated from similar cards) is stated separately.
An estimate from completed sales. Not an offer or an appraisal.
PSA 4 · Holo · last 90 days
Wide price swings
The 4 sales in the last 90 days ranged from $401 to $534. They swung about 2.7 times as much as usual for this grade.
Our estimate is $645. That is 58 percent above their middle sale.
What this label means
In the last 90 days, prices jumped around from sale to sale. They moved at least 2 times as much as usual for this grade. They did not clearly go up or down.
Labels describe past sales only. They never change our estimate.
Sales, last year
18 sales plotted · adjusted to typical eBay auction prices
Tap a dot, or tab to it, to see that sale.
Prices are adjusted to typical eBay auction prices. The latest sale is ringed.
About this chart
Buy It Now and auction-house prices are moved by the gap we measure between venues in this era, so every dot is comparable with an eBay auction. Tap a dot to see the price paid.
4 sales in the last 90 days. Each one is listed below.
- Sep 5, 2026: $410 (eBay auction)
- Sep 14, 2026: $402 (eBay fixed price)
- Sep 18, 2026: $534 (eBay auction)
- Sep 19, 2026: $405 (eBay auction)
Prices adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
Estimate history, last year
Lugia · PSA 4 · Holo · 1 year
Dots are sales at the price paid. The line is our estimate, adjusted to typical eBay auction prices. Each point is the estimate we published that night.
Last point on this chart: Oct 17, 2026, estimate then $531. Adjusted to typical eBay auction prices. The estimate at the top is the one updated Oct 20, 2026.
Thinking of buying?
Lugia · PSA 4 · Holo
Thinking of selling?
eBay Buy It Nowyou keep about $618
eBay takes $95 (13.25%) plus $0.40.
Fanatics Buy Nowyou keep about $616
Fanatics takes $40 (6%).
Fanatics auctionyou keep about $557
Fanatics charges no seller fee and adds a 2% bonus to the $552 winning bid.
eBay auctionyou keep about $555
eBay takes $86 (13.25%) plus $0.40.
Card showabout $437 (dealers often pay around 68%)
No fees. Dealers often pay around 68% of value. We do not measure their offers.
After fees and about $6 postage, at today's estimate of $647.
Goldin is not shown: we do not measure Goldin prices for this era.
Alt is not shown: we do not measure Alt prices for this era.
How we got this
eBay: the estimate plus the shipping you charge, less eBay's fee on both, less the per-order fee and your postage. The Buy It Now row uses the Buy It Now estimate. Fanatics, Goldin and Alt auctions: the estimate moved to that venue's prices with the gap we measure for this era, divided by one plus the buyer's premium to get the hammer price, then the seller bonus added or the commission taken off, less postage. Fanatics Buy Now and Alt fixed price: that venue's price less its seller fee and postage. Show offer: the estimate times your percentage. Sales tax is left out; eBay also charges its fee on tax the buyer pays. fees as of Oct 19, 2026.
- eBay auction: Trading card fee: 13.25% of the sale up to $7,500. Above that, 2.35% on the rest. The sale counts the price, shipping charged and sales tax. Each order also pays $0.30, or $0.40 over $10. Sales tax is left out here. Checked Oct 19, 2026 (confirmed). Source
- eBay Buy It Now: Same fees as the auction, on the Buy It Now estimate. That is our estimate times this era's usual Buy It Now gap, never below the estimate. Checked Oct 19, 2026 (confirmed). Source
- Fanatics auction: Buyers pay a 20% premium on the hammer price. Our stored Fanatics prices include that 20%. Premier Auction, for cards worth $25,000 or more: the seller gets 110% of the hammer. That rises to 112.5% above $250,000 and 115% above $1,000,000. Weekly Auction: a bonus of 2% to 15% on sales of $50 or more. We use the lowest, 2%. There is no seller fee. Checked Oct 19, 2026 (partly confirmed). Source
- Fanatics Buy Now: Seller fee 6% when listed under 120% of Card Ladder's market value. It is 12% at or above that. Buyers pay no fee. We list at the Fanatics price, so 6% applies. Checked Oct 19, 2026 (confirmed). Source
- Goldin auction: Buyers pay a 22% premium, at least $19. Goldin does not publish its seller commission. About 5% is a typical figure, not confirmed. We do not measure Goldin prices yet, so this route has no figure. Checked Oct 19, 2026 (partly confirmed). Source
- Alt auction: Buyers pay a 20% premium. Sellers pay no fee. The base seller bonus depends on the card's value: 4% under $1,000, 6% to $5,000, 8% to $25,000. It is 10% to $50,000, 12% to $200,000 and 15% above. We use the hammer price for the value. We assume our stored Alt prices include the premium. Checked Oct 19, 2026 (confirmed). Source
- Alt fixed price: Base seller fee: 14% to $249, 9% to $7,499, 7% to $9,999, and 5% from $10,000. Buyers pay no fee. Checked Oct 19, 2026 (confirmed). Source
- Show offer: No fee. Your own percentage of the estimate. The default follows the evidence: 87.5% strong, 80% moderate, 67.5% limited. Checked not checked (not applicable).
Grades · PSA · Holo
Grades 3 to 4 share one estimate. Their recent sales overlap, so we do not rank them apart.
Grades 1.5 to 2 share one estimate so a lower grade never shows above a higher one.
PSA 7 is estimated from the set's grade ratios because its own sales conflict with the other grades.
PSA 6 is estimated from the set's grade ratios because its own sales conflict with the other grades.
PSA 5 is estimated from the set's grade ratios because its own sales conflict with the other grades.
Estimates are adjusted to typical eBay auction prices. Sold ranges are prices as paid. A dash in the 30-day change column means no change is shown: it needs strong or moderate evidence.
How we got this
A grade's estimate needs 5 or more sales we counted in 90 days; otherwise the panel shows the lowest to highest sale of the last year. When neighbouring grades' sales overlap, or a lower grade's figure would sit above a higher grade's, they share one precision-weighted estimate (each figure weighted by how tight its range is). The 30-day change compares with the last settled estimate and shows only with strong or moderate evidence.
Sales, last 90 days, PSA 4 · Holo
4 sales we counted · prices as paid
Tap a sale for its record, with the price adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
$405.00Sep 19
$534.10Sep 18
$446.93Sep 14
$410.00Sep 5
Report a missing sale
On eBay now
Current offers at asking prices. These are not completed sales.
eBay listings are not available right now.
Prices and stock as eBay lists them. eBay is not part of this site.
PSA population
PSA 4: 13 copies graded
Source: Scrydex, report as of Oct 17, 2026. Check PSA's population report
Other grades (11)
| Grade | Copies | |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 13 | |
| PSA 9 | 142 | |
| PSA 8.5 | 5 | |
| PSA 8 | 329 | |
| PSA 7 | 252 | |
| PSA 6 | 134 | |
| PSA 5 | 66 | |
| PSA 4 · selected | 13 | |
| PSA 3 | 8 | |
| PSA 2 | 10 | |
| PSA 1 | 25 |
998 graded in total. Tracking since Oct 14, 2026; 30-day changes appear once a month of reports is stored.
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