Lugia-EX
Estimated value · PSA 5 · updated Oct 19
$499.88
- Recent sales: middle of the last 3: $614, Sep 22 to Sep 30
- Evidence: limited · 12 sales in 180 days · last Sep 30
- Next-sale range: $366 to $933
Estimate, recent sales and range: adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
How we got this
Estimated from similar cards: fewer than 5 sales we counted in 90 days, so the figure is modeled from 4 sales in 90 days, 12 older sales adjusted to today, PSA 4 prices.
Recent sales: the middle (median) of the last 3 sales we counted (Sep 22 to Sep 30), each adjusted to typical eBay auction prices: Buy It Now and auction-house prices are moved by the gap we measure between venues in this era. The sales list shows the prices paid.
Checked on 1,540 estimate-to-next-sale pairs for grades with fewer than 5 sales in 90 days, Black & White onward, from Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 15, 2026: half the next sales landed within 23 percent of the estimate at the time (as of Oct 18). A record of past estimates, not a guarantee for this card.
Estimates with limited evidence had a median error of 22 percent on 44,262 past cases (Jan 1, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026).
Sales in the last 90 days ran from $450.00 (Aug 14) to $750.00 (Sep 30) (4 sales, prices paid).
Last sale 19 days ago. Since then, Black & White onward sales have run 2 percent above their previous prices.
Evidence: strong means at least 4.5 effective recent sales (older and clustered sales count for less) with a spread under 0.15; moderate, at least 2.8 with a spread under 0.30; limited, anything less. The basis (sales of this grade, or estimated from similar cards) is stated separately.
An estimate from completed sales. Not an offer or an appraisal.
Unconfirmed rise
3 sales since Sep 22 sold above earlier sales. Prices may be rising, but this is not confirmed yet.
- Last 3 sales vs 11 before: +24%
- Vs our estimate: 0%
- Estimate since the move began: +10%
Of 1,018 past signals like this, 60 percent were confirmed or settled within 45 days. A record, not a forecast.
How we got this
The middle of the last 3 sales against the middle of the 11 before them (Sep vs Dec 2025 to Aug 2026), adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
Our estimate $613.60 from 6 sales through Sep 30.
The estimate was $556.91 on Sep 30 and is $613.60 now.
Signals counted for grades with 5 to 8 sales in 90 days, Jan 1, 2025 to Sep 3, 2026.
Sales, last year · 14
Each dot is a sale; tap one for details. Prices are adjusted to typical eBay auction prices. The latest sale is ringed.
About this chart
Buy It Now and auction-house prices are moved by the gap we measure between venues in this era, so every dot is comparable with an eBay auction. Tap a dot to see the price paid.
4 sales in the last 90 days: $425 on Aug 14, 2026 (eBay format unknown); $557 on Sep 22, 2026 (eBay format unknown); $614 on Sep 26, 2026 (eBay format unknown); $708 on Sep 30, 2026 (eBay format unknown). (Prices adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.)
Momentum: Unconfirmed rise
Detected Sep 30. Confirmed after 2 separate days of sales that hold the new level; 2 so far.
What ends it: later sales falling back, or our estimate catching up (shown as Settled). It also ends after 45 days without a sale at the new level.
Lugia-EX · PSA 5 · 1 year
Oct 17, 2026 · estimate $619.78 · that week: no sales
On eBay now
Listings from eBay · updated 3 hours agoNo copies listed on eBay right now.
Prices and stock as eBay lists them. eBay is not part of this site.
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Compared with the 4 sales of the last 90 days.
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Grades
Grades 6 to 6.5 share one estimate. Their recent sales overlap, so we do not rank them apart.
Grades 1 to 2 share one estimate. Their recent sales overlap, so we do not rank them apart.
Our estimate for each grade, with the change over 30 days and how much evidence backs it. Grades with few recent sales show the range of what sold instead.
How we got this
A grade's estimate needs 5 or more sales we counted in 90 days; otherwise the panel shows the lowest to highest sale of the last year. When neighbouring grades' sales overlap, or a lower grade's figure would sit above a higher grade's, they share one precision-weighted estimate (each figure weighted by how tight its range is). The 30-day change compares with the last settled estimate and shows only with strong or moderate evidence.
Sales, last 90 days, PSA 5
Prices as paid. Tap a sale to see it adjusted to typical eBay auction prices.
Report a missing sale
PSA population
| Grade | Copies | |
|---|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 21 | |
| PSA 9 | 293 | |
| PSA 8.5 | 8 | |
| PSA 8 | 583 | |
| PSA 7.5 | 1 | |
| PSA 7 | 512 | |
| PSA 6.5 | 1 | |
| PSA 6 | 297 | |
| PSA 5 | 136 | |
| PSA 4 | 63 | |
| PSA 3 | 32 | |
| PSA 2 | 31 | |
| PSA 1 | 72 |
2,055 graded in total. Tracking since October 14, 2026; 30-day changes appear once a month of reports is stored.
Source: Scrydex, as of October 17, 2026. Check PSA's population report
